Game Theory Analysis and Risk Quantification Model for Customs Classification Disputes in the Biopharmaceutical Industry

Gang Xue

doi:10.62051/ijgem.v8n1.29

Authors

Gang Xue

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.62051/ijgem.v8n1.29

Keywords:

Biopharmaceuticals, Customs classification, Risk quantification, Game analysis, Compliance governance

Abstract

With the rapid development of the biopharmaceutical industry, disputes over customs classification have become increasingly frequent. This study innovatively constructs a three-tiered game analysis framework of ‘signalling-bargaining-evolution,’ breaking through the limitations of the traditional customs-enterprise binary adversarial model. A four-dimensional risk quantification indicator system covering finance, operations, reputation, and legal aspects is established to achieve end-to-end loss prediction from the onset of disputes to supply chain disruptions. The study proposes an optimised regulatory pathway based on pre-ruling in free trade zones and blockchain-based evidence storage, and designs a ‘dual-database linkage’ cross-border genetic resource scheme. The findings provide compliance decision-making support for biopharmaceutical companies, offer customs authorities audit resource allocation strategies, and advance the modernisation of the industry's governance system.

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