Research on the Global PNG Trade Community Analysis and The Current Situation of Our Country's PNG Imports

Abstract

Against the backdrop of global energy green and low-carbon transition and the "Dual Carbon" target, PNG, as a low-carbon clean energy source, has become increasingly prominent in the global energy consumption market. Research on the global PNG trade network contributes to an in-depth understanding of the current PNG trade pattern, clarifies China’s position in the global PNG system, and provides strategic support for China’s PNG supply security and energy security. This study employs social network analysis to classify countries involved in the global PNG trade into different communities. It investigates the agglomeration degree of supply and receiving stations within the same community and the formation mechanism of communities, and analyzes the community characteristics where China is located. The current situation of China’s PNG import trade is examined from two dimensions: trade dependence index and import channels. The results demonstrate that: Firstly, community analysis reveals that geographical proximity constitutes the dominant factor influencing the global PNG trade. China acts as a leader in the Asia-Pacific community and holds a leading position in imports. Nevertheless, potential risks including geopolitical tensions, price volatility, and transportation security warrant vigilance. Secondly, the analysis of PMI and import channels indicates that China’s PNG imports maintain a steady growth trend, and the structure of import channels is gradually moving toward diversification. Accordingly, policy recommendations are proposed to stabilize China’s PNG supply and enhance the security capacity of national energy supply by adhering to the dual principles of expanding supply sources and controlling demand.