Analysis of Forest Carbon Sink Projections in China

Abstract

As carbon emissions continue to increase, forest carbon sinks can effectively neutralize carbon emissions, and predicting the potential of forest carbon sinks is of great significance to the achievement of the “double carbon” goal. In view of this, the forest carbon sink in the study area was calculated using the forest stock expansion method based on the national forest inventory data. On this basis, future forest carbon sinks were simulated and trended using a gray prediction GM (1, 1) model. The results show that the national and provincial forest carbon sinks are in an increasing trend from 2019-2028, with differences in forest carbon sinks in different provinces. Therefore, in the construction and management of forests in the future, we should comprehensively combine the geographic characteristics of different regions in China, follow the principle of adapting to local conditions, reasonably formulate forestry development plans for each region, give full play to the radiating role of provinces rich in forest carbon sinks, make full use of the advanced experience of their forest carbon sinks, improve the quality of existing forests, promote the enhancement of the function of forest carbon sinks, and effectively drive the development of forest carbon sinks in other regions, so as to promote the realization of China's “dual-carbon” goal.