Low-Carbon Development Dilemmas and Differentiated Pathways for Non-Core Cities in China's Chengdu–Chongqing Economic Zone: A Case Study of Nanchong

Download PDF
Abstract: China's dual-carbon strategy calls for all cities to formulate carbon peaking action plans, yet the academic literature overwhelmingly focuses on megacities and core economic centers, leaving the low-carbon transition challenges facing non-core, underdeveloped cities underexplored. This paper addresses this gap by examining Nanchong, a populous yet economically peripheral prefecture-level city in the Chengdu–Chongqing Economic Zone (CCEZ), as an in-depth case study. Drawing on Gerschenkron's latecomer advantage theory and the comparative advantage framework, and using publicly available statistical data, government policy documents, and secondary literature, we construct a systematic comparison between Nanchong and the CCEZ's twin core cities (Chengdu and Chongqing) across six analytical dimensions: economic structure, carbon emission profile, energy endowment, industrial innovation capacity, green finance accessibility, and human capital. Our analysis reveals that non-core cities face a distinctive "low-carbon development trilemma" — the simultaneous pressure to industrialize, urbanize, and decarbonize — which core cities have largely resolved sequentially. However, we identify four differentiated low-carbon pathways available to Nanchong that leverage its latecomer status: (1) leapfrogging through new-energy commercial vehicle manufacturing; (2) exploiting natural gas resource endowments for a transitional "grey-to-blue-to-green" hydrogen strategy; (3) green upgrading of the traditional silk industry chain through eco-certification and cultural branding; and (4) utilizing near-zero-carbon industrial park pilots as institutional innovation platforms. We argue that non-core cities need not replicate the carbon-intensive industrialization trajectory of core cities but can pursue "curve-bending" strategies that compress the time between economic take-off and emission peaking. The findings carry implications for similar non-core cities across China's western urban agglomerations and for developing-country cities more broadly.
Keywords: Non-core city, Low-carbon development, Chengdu–Chongqing Economic Zone, Nanchong, Latecomer advantage, Carbon peaking, Differentiated pathways
APA Citation: Yuan Yao, Yuan Zhu (2026). Low-Carbon Development Dilemmas and Differentiated Pathways for Non-Core Cities in China's Chengdu–Chongqing Economic Zone: A Case Study of Nanchong. International Journal of Global Economics and Management, 10(3), 62-73. https://doi.org/10.62051/ijgem.v10n3.09

References

  1. Gerschenkron, A. (1962). Economic Backwardness in Historical Perspective. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
  2. Grossman, G. M., & Krueger, A. B. (1995). Economic growth and the environment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(2), 353–377.
  3. Henderson, J. V. (1974). The sizes and types of cities. American Economic Review, 64(4), 640–656.
  4. Levy, M. J. (1966). Modernization and the Structure of Societies. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  5. Lin, J. Y. (2012). New Structural Economics: A Framework for Rethinking Development and Policy. Washington, DC: World Bank.
  6. Liu, Z., Guan, D., Wei, W., et al. (2015). Reduced carbon emission estimates from fossil fuel combustion and cement production in China. Nature, 524, 335–338.
  7. Pan, W., Pan, W., Shi, Y., et al. (2024). Exploring the dynamics and trends of carbon emission spatiotemporal patterns in the Chengdu–Chongqing Economic Zone. Scientific Reports, 14, 16522.
  8. Shan, Y., Guan, D., Zheng, H., et al. (2018). China CO₂ emission accounts 1997–2015. Scientific Data, 5, 170201.
  9. State Council of China. (2021). Action Plan for Carbon Dioxide Peaking Before 2030. Beijing.
  10. Wang, Y., Guo, C., Chen, X., et al. (2024). City-level pathways to carbon peak and neutrality in China. Cell Reports Sustainability, 1(7), 100162.
  11. Xu, B., & Lin, B. (2018). Investigating the role of high-tech industry in reducing China's CO₂ emissions. Journal of Cleaner Production, 177, 169–177.
  12. Yin, R. K. (2018). Case Study Research and Applications: Design and Methods (6th ed.). Thousand Oaks: Sage.
  13. Zhang, L., Zhao, L., & Liang, G. (2024). Investigation on the complex relationship between urbanization and eco-efficiency in the Chengdu–Chongqing urban agglomeration. Ecological Indicators, 159, 111614.
  14. Zhao, Y., Yang, Y., & He, C. (2024). Green development in the Chengdu–Chongqing economic zone: Evolution and drivers. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 12, 1506618.